Prediction ledger
5,240 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #546 | "mamdani" | narrative · 24H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "mamdani" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.01% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #544 | "gainbro" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "gainbro" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.07% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #543 | "unit" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "unit" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.04% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #542 | "persuasion" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "persuasion" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 1.07% (+51%). CORRECT. |
| #541 | "underpants" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "underpants" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.86% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #540 | "baby" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "baby" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.07% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #539 | "mamdani" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "mamdani" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #538 | "unit" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "unit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.81% → 0.07% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #528 | "system" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "system" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.16% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #521 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.11% → 5.23% (+27%). CORRECT. |
| #511 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.36% → 2.37% (+75%). CORRECT. |
| #505 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.07% → 1.77% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #498 | "usepaid" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "usepaid" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.63% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #497 | "angel" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "angel" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.35% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #495 | "top" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "top" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.40% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #493 | "angel" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "angel" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.35% → 0.63% (-53%). CORRECT. |
| #491 | "beauty" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "beauty" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.85% → 0.36% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #490 | "angel" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "angel" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.94% → 2.46% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #489 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.06% → 4.11% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #482 | "quantum" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "quantum" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 6.76% → 2.82% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #481 | "sib" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "sib" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.30% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #479 | "taking" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "taking" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.09% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #478 | "paid" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "paid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.03% → 0.45% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #477 | "usepaid" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "usepaid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.45% → 0.72% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #476 | "grencat" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "grencat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.09% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #475 | "usepaid" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "usepaid" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.35% → 0.61% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #473 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.68% → 4.07% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #467 | "intelligent" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "intelligent" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.40% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #466 | "beauty" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "beauty" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.25% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #464 | "clyde" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "clyde" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #463 | "vamp" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "vamp" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.15% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #462 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.40% → 1.57% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #461 | "cod" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "cod" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.96% → 0.01% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #460 | "toad" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "toad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.09% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #459 | "cod" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "cod" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.08% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #457 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.16% → 0.96% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #452 | "cartoon" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "cartoon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.22% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #449 | "beauty" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "beauty" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.37% → 1.22% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #447 | "intelligent" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "intelligent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.78% → 3.99% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #446 | "beauty" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "beauty" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.02% → 4.19% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #445 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.30% → 6.20% (-25%). CORRECT. |
| #440 | "monkey" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "monkey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.16% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #439 | "theater" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "theater" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.11% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #437 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.52% → 2.85% (+87%). CORRECT. |
| #436 | "chaos" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "chaos" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.32% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #434 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.99% → 8.16% (+63%). CORRECT. |
| #428 | "force" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "force" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #426 | "starblo" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "starblo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.07% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #425 | "mouse" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "mouse" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 1.39% (+287%). CORRECT. |
| #423 | "save" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "save" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.69% → 1.56% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #422 | "please" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "please" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.69% → 1.52% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #421 | "lmao" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "lmao" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.74% → 0.27% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #416 | "rofl" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "rofl" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.01% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #414 | "lmao" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "lmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.21% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #413 | "paired" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "paired" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.03% → 0.82% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #411 | "paired" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "paired" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.54% → 1.20% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #410 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.98% → 10.24% (+71%). CORRECT. |
| #409 | "roflmao" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "roflmao" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.03% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #404 | "blue" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "blue" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.11% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #403 | "paws" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "paws" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.04% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #402 | "roflmao" | narrative · 6H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 72% that "roflmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.65% (+92%). CORRECT. |
| #400 | "meet" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "meet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.40% (-12%). CORRECT. |
| #388 | "matpatgt" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "matpatgt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #385 | "jesus" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "jesus" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.33% → 3.64% (-16%). CORRECT. |
| #376 | "moments" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "moments" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.04% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #365 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.87% → 6.62% (+36%). CORRECT. |
| #363 | "tiktok" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "tiktok" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.54% → 0.15% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #362 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.67% → 1.10% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #361 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.37% → 6.38% (+46%). CORRECT. |
| #355 | "maru" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "maru" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.04% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #353 | "call" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "call" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.32% (-44%). CORRECT. |
| #352 | "game" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "game" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.81% (+174%). CORRECT. |
| #351 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.59% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #350 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 1.43% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #349 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.92% → 9.21% (+33%). CORRECT. |
| #344 | "qcat" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "qcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.16% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #343 | "justice" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "justice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.23% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #342 | "butt" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "butt" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.20% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #341 | "emoji" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "emoji" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.11% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #340 | "deep" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "deep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.12% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #338 | "butt" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "butt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.27% → 0.73% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #337 | "emoji" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "emoji" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.28% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #331 | "trench" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "trench" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.37% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #330 | "burn" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "burn" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.25% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #329 | "slop" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "slop" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.69% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #327 | "burn" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "burn" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.05% → 0.33% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #326 | "slop" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "slop" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.38% → 1.93% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #325 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.73% → 4.65% (+25%). CORRECT. |
| #320 | "private" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "private" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.33% (+24%). CORRECT. |
| #319 | "computer" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "computer" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.36% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #318 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.25% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #316 | "crypt" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "crypt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.07% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #308 | "buys" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "buys" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.30% (+40%). CORRECT. |
| #307 | "candle" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.41% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #306 | "green" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.69% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #305 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 1.53% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #303 | "candle" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 1.45% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #302 | "subs" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "subs" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #301 | "green" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.46% → 1.79% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #296 | "version" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "version" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.15% (-20%). CORRECT. |