Prediction ledger
6,120 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #376 | "moments" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "moments" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.04% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #375 | "aura" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "aura" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.73% → 0.29% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #374 | "lolcat" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "lolcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.38% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #373 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 9.21% → 5.02% (-45%). INCORRECT. |
| #368 | "half" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "half" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.17% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #367 | "tiktok" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 14% that "tiktok" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.54% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #366 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.28% → 3.93% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #365 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.87% → 6.62% (+36%). CORRECT. |
| #364 | "vamped" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "vamped" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #363 | "tiktok" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "tiktok" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.54% → 0.15% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #362 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.67% → 1.10% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #361 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.37% → 6.38% (+46%). CORRECT. |
| #356 | "desk" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "desk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.14% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #355 | "maru" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "maru" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.04% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #354 | "viral" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "viral" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.79% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #353 | "call" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "call" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.32% (-44%). CORRECT. |
| #352 | "game" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "game" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.81% (+174%). CORRECT. |
| #351 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.59% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #350 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 1.43% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #349 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.92% → 9.21% (+33%). CORRECT. |
| #344 | "qcat" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "qcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.16% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #343 | "justice" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "justice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.23% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #342 | "butt" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "butt" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.20% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #341 | "emoji" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "emoji" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.11% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #340 | "deep" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "deep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.12% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #339 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.09% → 1.94% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #338 | "butt" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "butt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.27% → 0.73% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #337 | "emoji" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "emoji" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.28% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #332 | "head" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 53% that "head" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.18% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #331 | "trench" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "trench" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.37% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #330 | "burn" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "burn" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.25% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #329 | "slop" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "slop" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.69% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #328 | "straight" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 70% that "straight" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.26% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #327 | "burn" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "burn" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.05% → 0.33% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #326 | "slop" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "slop" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.38% → 1.93% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #325 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.73% → 4.65% (+25%). CORRECT. |
| #320 | "private" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "private" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.33% (+24%). CORRECT. |
| #319 | "computer" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "computer" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.36% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #318 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.25% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #317 | "finance" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "finance" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.00% → 0.20% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #316 | "crypt" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "crypt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.07% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #315 | "finance" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "finance" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 0.26% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #314 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.07% → 3.55% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #313 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.17% → 5.09% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #308 | "buys" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "buys" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.30% (+40%). CORRECT. |
| #307 | "candle" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.41% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #306 | "green" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.69% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #305 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 1.53% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #304 | "rip" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "rip" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.04% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #303 | "candle" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "candle" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 1.45% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #302 | "subs" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "subs" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #301 | "green" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "green" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.46% → 1.79% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #296 | "version" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "version" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.15% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #295 | "subs" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "subs" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.03% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #294 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 2.85% (+59%). INCORRECT. |
| #293 | "fox" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "fox" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.48% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #292 | "signal" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "signal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.11% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #291 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 1.71% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #290 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.88% → 5.07% (+76%). INCORRECT. |
| #289 | "fox" | narrative · 1H | 73% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 73% that "fox" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.37% → 0.76% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #284 | "round" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "round" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.09% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #283 | "vibes" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "vibes" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 1.04% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #282 | "duck" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "duck" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.08% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #281 | "hitler" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "hitler" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.08% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #280 | "phil" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 66% that "phil" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.59% (+178%). CORRECT. |
| #279 | "hitler" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "hitler" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.86% → 0.07% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #278 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 4.40% (+32%). INCORRECT. |
| #277 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 39% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.22% → 4.15% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #272 | "brain" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 26% that "brain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.26% (+8%). PARTIAL. |
| #271 | "ambani" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "ambani" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.09% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #270 | "free" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "free" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 1.13% (+26%). INCORRECT. |
| #269 | "final" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "final" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.23% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #268 | "mission" | narrative · 1H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "mission" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.23% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #267 | "ambani" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "ambani" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.20% → 0.04% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #266 | "free" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "free" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.32% → 1.67% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #265 | "final" | narrative · 1H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "final" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.40% → 0.19% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #260 | "robinhood" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "robinhood" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.85% (+63%). CORRECT. |
| #259 | "ambuni" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "ambuni" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #258 | "memecoin" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "memecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.29% → 1.32% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #257 | "boss" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "boss" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.16% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #256 | "paradox" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "paradox" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #255 | "ambuni" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "ambuni" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #254 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.49% → 1.73% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #253 | "boss" | narrative · 1H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "boss" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.82% → 0.17% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #248 | "ethstr" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "ethstr" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #247 | "latest" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "latest" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.01% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #246 | "existing" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "existing" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.01% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #245 | "paws" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "paws" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.87% → 1.00% (+14%). CORRECT. |
| #244 | "guy" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 22% that "guy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.37% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #243 | "paws" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "paws" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.03% → 0.98% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #242 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.87% → 2.85% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #241 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.91% → 4.19% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #236 | "refuses" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "refuses" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.03% (-54%). INCORRECT. |
| #235 | "instead" | narrative · 6H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "instead" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 0.03% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #234 | "quoted" | narrative · 6H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "quoted" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #233 | "baby" | narrative · 6H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 22:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "baby" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.25% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #232 | "doomed" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "doomed" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.20% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #231 | "instead" | narrative · 1H | 85% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 85% that "instead" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.35% → 0.04% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #230 | "quoted" | narrative · 1H | 85% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 85% that "quoted" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.39% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #229 | "baby" | narrative · 1H | 85% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 85% that "baby" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.50% → 0.12% (-97%). INCORRECT. |