Will "chain" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 64% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

56 of 2716 launches in the last hour referenced "chain" (56 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.25×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3623870667451573,
      "momentum": 0.22647471523173904,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6431039430316902
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "chain",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.02608047690014903,
    "share60": 0.020794994479205006,
    "total15": 670,
    "total60": 2716,
    "momentum": 1.2541708980124764,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 56,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 56
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 508,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9949161111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9949161111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6431039430316902
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.01940962393853619,
  "shareRatio": 0.9317809567326281,
  "totalAfter": 2473,
  "shareBefore": 0.020863836017569547,
  "totalBefore": 2732,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 48,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 57
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity