Prediction ledger
5,656 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1520 | "wif" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "wif" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.44% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #1519 | "crypto" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 66% that "crypto" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.11% → 1.50% (+35%). CORRECT. |
| #1518 | "blockchan" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "blockchan" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.09% (-86%). INCORRECT. |
| #1517 | "read" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "read" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 0.62% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #1516 | "found" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "found" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.23% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #1515 | "altai" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "altai" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.65% → 0.98% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #1514 | "blockchan" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "blockchan" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.56% → 0.68% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #1513 | "read" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "read" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.63% → 0.61% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #1508 | "brand" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "brand" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.22% (+11%). INCORRECT. |
| #1507 | "quantum" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "quantum" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.12% → 0.76% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #1506 | "trencher" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "trencher" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.24% (+83%). INCORRECT. |
| #1505 | "animates" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "animates" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #1504 | "onchain" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "onchain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.23% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #1503 | "jareth" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "jareth" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.01% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #1502 | "trencher" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "trencher" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.33% (+15%). INCORRECT. |
| #1501 | "animates" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "animates" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.21% → 0.03% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #1500 | "future" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 76% that "future" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.42% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #1499 | "markodex" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "markodex" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.96% → 0.07% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #1498 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.21% → 3.32% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #1497 | "animates" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "animates" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.57% → 0.14% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #1492 | "ecosystem" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 32% that "ecosystem" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.17% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #1491 | "markodex" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "markodex" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.03% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #1490 | "fuck" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 39% that "fuck" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.30% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #1489 | "normie" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "normie" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.29% (+91%). CORRECT. |
| #1488 | "boid" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "boid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1487 | "markodex" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "markodex" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.08% (-79%). INCORRECT. |
| #1486 | "fuck" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "fuck" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.39% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #1485 | "normie" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "normie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.48% (-43%). INCORRECT. |
| #1484 | "meet" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "meet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.45% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #1483 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 26% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.09% → 5.14% (+67%). INCORRECT. |
| #1482 | "fuck" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "fuck" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 1.06% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #1481 | "normie" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "normie" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.09% → 1.13% (-78%). INCORRECT. |
| #1476 | "onchain" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "onchain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.26% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #1475 | "glyph8192" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "glyph8192" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.01% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #1474 | "btw" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 15% that "btw" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.11% (+20%). INCORRECT. |
| #1473 | "accelerando" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "accelerando" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.03% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #1472 | "electronicus" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "electronicus" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.11% (+70%). INCORRECT. |
| #1471 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.04% → 0.81% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #1470 | "btw" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 9% that "btw" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.45% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #1469 | "accelerando" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "accelerando" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.09% → 0.15% (-86%). INCORRECT. |
| #1468 | "native" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "native" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.08% (-79%). INCORRECT. |
| #1467 | "btw" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "btw" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.43% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1466 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 49% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.50% → 3.21% (+28%). INCORRECT. |
| #1465 | "accelerando" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "accelerando" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.65% → 0.74% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #1460 | "felix" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "felix" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.01% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #1459 | "pliq" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "pliq" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.01% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #1458 | "dexter" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "dexter" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.02% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #1457 | "soulja" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "soulja" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.18% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #1456 | "watchlist" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "watchlist" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.02% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #1455 | "pliq" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "pliq" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.01% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #1454 | "dexter" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "dexter" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.01% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #1453 | "soulja" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "soulja" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.16% → 0.81% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #1452 | "planet" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "planet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.25% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #1451 | "pliq" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "pliq" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.06% → 0.08% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #1450 | "dexter" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "dexter" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.48% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1449 | "soulja" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "soulja" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.69% → 1.84% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #1444 | "looking" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "looking" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.22% (+156%). INCORRECT. |
| #1443 | "keeps" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "keeps" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.24% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #1442 | "confidence" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "confidence" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.17% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #1441 | "simple" | narrative · 24H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "simple" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.26% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #1440 | "red" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 20% that "red" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.21% (+11%). INCORRECT. |
| #1439 | "energy" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 22% that "energy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.04% → 0.95% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #1438 | "altai" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "altai" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.95% → 2.64% (+177%). INCORRECT. |
| #1437 | "tiger" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "tiger" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 2.64% (+181%). INCORRECT. |
| #1436 | "house" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "house" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.16% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #1435 | "altai" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "altai" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.13% → 4.07% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #1434 | "tiger" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "tiger" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.31% → 3.91% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #1433 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.78% → 8.53% (+26%). CORRECT. |
| #1428 | "friendly" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "friendly" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.17% (-56%). INCORRECT. |
| #1427 | "loop" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "loop" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.04% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #1426 | "chain" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "chain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.80% → 1.50% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #1425 | "sharkdog" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "sharkdog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.07% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #1424 | "light" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "light" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.05% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #1423 | "around" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "around" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.84% → 0.60% (-28%). INCORRECT. |
| #1422 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.06% → 1.81% (-12%). INCORRECT. |
| #1421 | "sharkdog" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "sharkdog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.11% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #1420 | "roadmap" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "roadmap" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.08% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #1419 | "around" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "around" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.75% → 0.59% (-78%). INCORRECT. |
| #1418 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.99% → 1.78% (-40%). INCORRECT. |
| #1417 | "sharkdog" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "sharkdog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.31% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #1412 | "blockchain" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "blockchain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.25% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #1411 | "claimed" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "claimed" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.26% (-11%). CORRECT. |
| #1410 | "giga" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "giga" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.19% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #1409 | "project" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "project" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.32% (-20%). INCORRECT. |
| #1408 | "terminal" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 34% that "terminal" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.16% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #1407 | "loop" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "loop" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.02% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #1406 | "claimed" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "claimed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.87% → 0.41% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #1405 | "giga" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "giga" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.16% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #1404 | "discovered" | narrative · 1H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "discovered" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.85% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #1403 | "project" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "project" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.56% → 0.92% (-74%). INCORRECT. |
| #1402 | "incognito" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "incognito" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.63% → 0.09% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #1401 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.79% → 4.49% (+18%). INCORRECT. |
| #1396 | "serious" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "serious" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.06% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #1395 | "lego" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "lego" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.08% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #1394 | "uxento" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "uxento" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 3.28% → 2.34% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #1393 | "incoginu" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "incoginu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.05% (-61%). INCORRECT. |
| #1392 | "goal" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "goal" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.16% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #1391 | "quantum" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "quantum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.49% → 0.93% (-37%). INCORRECT. |
| #1390 | "lego" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "lego" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.10% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #1389 | "incoginu" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-11 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "incoginu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.24% (-58%). INCORRECT. |