Will "jareth" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 53% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

19 of 1207 launches in the last hour referenced "jareth" (14 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 1.47×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.200250160009851,
      "momentum": 0.3886372946416909,
      "diversity": -0.015789473684210575
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5252705964576142
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "jareth",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.023809523809523808,
    "share60": 0.016142384105960264,
    "total15": 314,
    "total60": 1207,
    "momentum": 1.474969474969475,
    "diversity": 0.7368421052631579,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 19,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 151,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918608333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9986434722222223
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5252705964576142
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0001003814495081309,
  "shareRatio": 0.05894115921216193,
  "totalAfter": 9962,
  "shareBefore": 0.0024891916677584175,
  "totalBefore": 7633,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 19
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity