Will "uxento" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 49% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

38 of 1343 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (22 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.46×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3042222370938428,
      "momentum": 0.38088541968933187,
      "diversity": -0.20526315789473681
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.48498507824768067
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "uxento",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.04192546583850932,
    "share60": 0.028645833333333332,
    "total15": 321,
    "total60": 1343,
    "momentum": 1.4635798983625072,
    "diversity": 0.5789473684210527,
    "launches15": 13,
    "launches60": 38,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 22
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 152,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9984825,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999367708333333
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.48498507824768067
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.02344048073254483,
  "shareRatio": 0.7156884845823317,
  "totalAfter": 41936,
  "shareBefore": 0.03275829061283529,
  "totalBefore": 47011,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 983,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 1540
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity