Will "agent" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

28 of 1275 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (26 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 1.33×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2584149896611655,
      "momentum": 0.28143205210660965,
      "diversity": 0.21428571428571433
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5567279299227447
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agent",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.029595015576323987,
    "share60": 0.02233542319749216,
    "total15": 320,
    "total60": 1275,
    "momentum": 1.3250259605399792,
    "diversity": 0.9285714285714286,
    "launches15": 9,
    "launches60": 28,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 26
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 158,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9984919444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997486574074074
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5567279299227447
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00807595765578959,
  "shareRatio": 0.7788492179319985,
  "totalAfter": 9163,
  "shareBefore": 0.010375304214166773,
  "totalBefore": 7807,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 74,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 81
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity