Prediction ledger
4,776 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3440 | "bring" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "bring" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.11% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #3439 | "musk" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "musk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.10% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #3438 | "floyd" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "floyd" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 0.61% (-23%). INCORRECT. |
| #3437 | "john" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "john" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.36% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #3436 | "decide" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "decide" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3435 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.89% → 1.75% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #3434 | "floyd" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "floyd" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.04% → 1.34% (-56%). INCORRECT. |
| #3433 | "john" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "john" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.65% → 1.85% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #3428 | "pair" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 63% that "pair" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.34% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3427 | "hopecoin" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "hopecoin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #3426 | "hope" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "hope" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.07% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #3425 | "pedro" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "pedro" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.12% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #3424 | "doomed" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "doomed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.31% (+110%). INCORRECT. |
| #3423 | "hope" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "hope" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.09% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #3422 | "pedro" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "pedro" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.14% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #3421 | "credit" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "credit" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.02% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #3420 | "toilet" | narrative · 1H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "toilet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3419 | "credit" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "credit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.99% → 0.05% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #3418 | "hello" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "hello" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.43% → 0.10% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #3417 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.62% → 3.66% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #3412 | "trust" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "trust" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.13% (-16%). CORRECT. |
| #3411 | "credit" | narrative · 24H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "credit" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.03% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #3410 | "act" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "act" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.11% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #3409 | "era" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "era" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.20% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #3408 | "views" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "views" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.12% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #3407 | "act" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "act" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.15% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #3406 | "era" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "era" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.19% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #3405 | "test" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "test" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.94% → 0.30% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #3404 | "dude" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "dude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.05% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #3403 | "act" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "act" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.27% → 0.46% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #3402 | "era" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "era" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.56% → 0.36% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #3401 | "test" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "test" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.05% → 0.41% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #3396 | "alternative" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 60% that "alternative" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.02% → 0.06% (+135%). CORRECT. |
| #3395 | "mikan" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "mikan" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.03% (-74%). INCORRECT. |
| #3394 | "charity" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 24% that "charity" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.29% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #3393 | "live" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "live" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.24% → 0.90% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #3392 | "mikan" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "mikan" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.11% (-68%). INCORRECT. |
| #3391 | "charity" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "charity" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.48% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #3390 | "hello" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "hello" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.49% → 0.93% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #3389 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.90% → 0.93% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #3388 | "floyd" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 71% that "floyd" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.26% → 1.34% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #3387 | "humans" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "humans" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.11% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3386 | "hello" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "hello" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.37% → 3.43% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #3385 | "live" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "live" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.99% → 1.27% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #3380 | "cycle" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "cycle" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.03% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #3379 | "martian" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "martian" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.01% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #3378 | "humans" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "humans" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.10% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #3377 | "marvin" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "marvin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.01% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #3376 | "grows" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 26% that "grows" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.13% (+158%). INCORRECT. |
| #3375 | "martian" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "martian" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.02% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #3374 | "humans" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "humans" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.20% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #3373 | "marvin" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "marvin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.13% → 0.01% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3372 | "energy" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "energy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.43% (-25%). INCORRECT. |
| #3371 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 1.12% (-66%). INCORRECT. |
| #3370 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.67% → 2.71% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #3369 | "marvin" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "marvin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.19% → 0.03% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3364 | "rules" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 34% that "rules" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.22% (+78%). INCORRECT. |
| #3363 | "dyna" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "dyna" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3362 | "taku" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "taku" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.02% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #3361 | "nasbot" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "nasbot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.03% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #3360 | "leo" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 51% that "leo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.31% (+3%). PARTIAL. |
| #3359 | "seal" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "seal" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.38% (-46%). INCORRECT. |
| #3358 | "taku" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "taku" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.07% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #3357 | "nasbot" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "nasbot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.08% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #3356 | "mascot" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 77% that "mascot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.26% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3355 | "seal" | narrative · 1H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "seal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.89% → 0.70% (-63%). INCORRECT. |
| #3354 | "taku" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "taku" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.64% → 0.18% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #3353 | "nasbot" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "nasbot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.83% → 0.22% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3348 | "keffed" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "keffed" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.01% → 0.01% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #3347 | "abdulrahman" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 60% that "abdulrahman" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.13% (+59%). CORRECT. |
| #3346 | "otto" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "otto" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.00% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #3345 | "kirk" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "kirk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.21% (+82%). INCORRECT. |
| #3344 | "ave" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "ave" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.08% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #3343 | "kirk" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "kirk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.14% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #3342 | "space" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "space" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 0.15% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #3341 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 5.79% → 4.11% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #3340 | "trench" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "trench" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.17% → 0.15% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #3339 | "kirk" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "kirk" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.63% → 0.11% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #3338 | "space" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "space" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.09% → 0.04% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #3337 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.36% → 4.67% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #3332 | "layer" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 40% that "layer" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.19% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #3331 | "space" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "space" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.61% (+54%). INCORRECT. |
| #3330 | "monkey" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 34% that "monkey" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.40% (+15%). INCORRECT. |
| #3329 | "peachy" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "peachy" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.00% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3328 | "dead" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "dead" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.15% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3327 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.08% → 0.93% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #3326 | "monkey" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "monkey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.25% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #3325 | "peachy" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "peachy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3324 | "spot" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "spot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #3323 | "monkey" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "monkey" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.27% → 0.28% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #3322 | "peachy" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "peachy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.63% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3321 | "justice" | narrative · 1H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "justice" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.13% → 0.51% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #3316 | "meet" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 59% that "meet" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.37% (+0%). PARTIAL. |
| #3315 | "digital" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "digital" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.27% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #3314 | "zerocash" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "zerocash" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.00% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #3313 | "ryz101" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "ryz101" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.10% (-12%). INCORRECT. |
| #3312 | "argon" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "argon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.18% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #3311 | "justice" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "justice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 1.02% (+29%). CORRECT. |
| #3310 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.28% → 1.68% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #3309 | "ryz101" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "ryz101" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.01% (-96%). INCORRECT. |