Will "floyd" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

60 of 1959 launches in the last hour referenced "floyd" (33 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.43×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3727359974682,
      "momentum": 0.3585967211058744,
      "diversity": -0.23999999999999994
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5109814595310561
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "floyd",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.04418103448275862,
    "share60": 0.03086734693877551,
    "total15": 463,
    "total60": 1959,
    "momentum": 1.4313194642348248,
    "diversity": 0.55,
    "launches15": 20,
    "launches60": 60,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 33
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 281,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946308333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991051388888889
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5109814595310561
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006085590891244602,
  "shareRatio": 0.7714583973294347,
  "totalAfter": 10188,
  "shareBefore": 0.007917383820998278,
  "totalBefore": 14525,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 62,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 115
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity