Will "inu" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 36% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

45 of 2207 launches in the last hour referenced "inu" (27 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.58×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3295836866004329,
      "momentum": -0.5376368812166475,
      "diversity": -0.18000000000000002
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.36085912702796513
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "inu",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.012037037037037037,
    "share60": 0.020606884057971016,
    "total15": 539,
    "total60": 2207,
    "momentum": 0.584126984126984,
    "diversity": 0.6,
    "launches15": 6,
    "launches60": 45,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 274,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990925,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.99984875
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.36085912702796513
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.016761821109647197,
  "shareRatio": 0.5110022982777063,
  "totalAfter": 13662,
  "shareBefore": 0.03283604468101057,
  "totalBefore": 13339,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 229,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 438
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity