Will "grows" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 26% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 2626 launches in the last hour referenced "grows" (7 distinct creators, rank #178). Last 15m momentum 0.23×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": -1.4531913949338897,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2550410902765332
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "grows",
    "rank60": 178,
    "share15": 0.0006675567423230974,
    "share60": 0.002854967643700038,
    "total15": 748,
    "total60": 2626,
    "momentum": 0.23382287494437026,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 267,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960316666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993386111111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2550410902765332
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00125250501002004,
  "shareRatio": 2.4890762851020014,
  "totalAfter": 11976,
  "shareBefore": 0.0004853022739877981,
  "totalBefore": 14424,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 15,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 7
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity