Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 64% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

97 of 2673 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (53 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.99×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.44479095991039236,
      "momentum": 0.6886485866645851,
      "diversity": -0.24432989690721654
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6431608319185915
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.07259713701431493,
    "share60": 0.03646222887060584,
    "total15": 488,
    "total60": 2673,
    "momentum": 1.991023019243878,
    "diversity": 0.5463917525773195,
    "launches15": 35,
    "launches60": 97,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 53
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 308,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971430555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9971430555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6431608319185915
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03657262277951933,
  "shareRatio": 1.0119301064470778,
  "totalAfter": 1914,
  "shareBefore": 0.036207540126913025,
  "totalBefore": 2679,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 70,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 97
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity