Will "cycle" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 2626 launches in the last hour referenced "cycle" (5 distinct creators, rank #285). Last 15m momentum 1.59×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.4664014458040503,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5207881901636444
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cycle",
    "rank60": 285,
    "share15": 0.0033377837116154874,
    "share60": 0.002093642938713361,
    "total15": 748,
    "total60": 2626,
    "momentum": 1.5942468746207066,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 267,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960316666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998346527777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5207881901636444
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00033391370715767885,
  "shareRatio": 1.0129984735737454,
  "totalAfter": 41927,
  "shareBefore": 0.0003296289320022603,
  "totalBefore": 42472,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 14,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 14
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity