Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 67% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

88 of 2626 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (35 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 2.75×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.43018483530661594,
      "momentum": 1.0131830067251828,
      "diversity": -0.42272727272727273
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6727480591964066
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.09279038718291055,
    "share60": 0.03368861819566045,
    "total15": 748,
    "total60": 2626,
    "momentum": 2.754354204853175,
    "diversity": 0.3977272727272727,
    "launches15": 69,
    "launches60": 88,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 35
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 267,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960316666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9960316666666666
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6727480591964066
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.011217419993401518,
  "shareRatio": 0.3387873977013551,
  "totalAfter": 3031,
  "shareBefore": 0.033409263477600606,
  "totalBefore": 2634,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 34,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 88
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity