Prediction ledger
4,472 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3012 | "night" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "night" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.15% (+13%). INCORRECT. |
| #3011 | "born" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "born" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.56% (+43%). INCORRECT. |
| #2995 | "doge" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "doge" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.89% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #2993 | "realist" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "realist" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2992 | "pools" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "pools" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.04% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #2991 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 34% that "doge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 1.07% (+69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2989 | "realist" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "realist" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.08% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #2988 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 1.61% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #2987 | "realist" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "realist" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.11% → 0.66% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2985 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.72% → 1.61% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #2982 | $batoncat | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $batoncat would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $2,633, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2981 | $batoncat | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $batoncat would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $2,661, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2980 | "rest" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "rest" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.16% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #2957 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 5.30% → 4.13% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2956 | "higgspad" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "higgspad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.26% (-38%). INCORRECT. |
| #2953 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.18% → 1.14% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2946 | "crypto" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 25% that "crypto" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 1.15% (+32%). INCORRECT. |
| #2945 | "house" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 23% that "house" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.35% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #2944 | "lofopad" | narrative · 6H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "lofopad" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2943 | "house" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "house" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.39% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #2942 | "agents" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "agents" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.62% (+17%). INCORRECT. |
| #2938 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.78% → 1.42% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #2932 | "security" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "security" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.10% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #2926 | "energy" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "energy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.60% → 0.90% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #2921 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.67% → 1.96% (-26%). INCORRECT. |
| #2916 | "free" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "free" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.47% (+17%). INCORRECT. |
| #2915 | "sanctuary" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "sanctuary" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.03% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #2914 | "mayhem" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "mayhem" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.45% (+108%). INCORRECT. |
| #2892 | "run" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 23% that "run" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 1.03% (+110%). INCORRECT. |
| #2879 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.36% (-48%). INCORRECT. |
| #2877 | "sleep" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "sleep" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.18% → 0.04% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2875 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.96% → 1.06% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2873 | "sleep" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "sleep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.24% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2866 | "added" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "added" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.11% (-15%). INCORRECT. |
| #2865 | "runepunk" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "runepunk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.00% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2863 | "added" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "added" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.03% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2862 | "web" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "web" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.08% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #2861 | "runepunk" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "runepunk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.03% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2859 | "runepunk" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "runepunk" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.17% → 0.14% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #2851 | "claude" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "claude" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.38% (+24%). INCORRECT. |
| #2849 | "claudechud" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "claudechud" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.03% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #2848 | "hamster" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 19% that "hamster" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.28% (+48%). INCORRECT. |
| #2845 | "claudechud" | narrative · 6H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "claudechud" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.14% (-78%). INCORRECT. |
| #2844 | "term" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "term" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.14% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #2841 | "claudechud" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "claudechud" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.55% → 0.68% (-85%). INCORRECT. |
| #2831 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.60% → 3.17% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2816 | "dcat" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "dcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2814 | "privacy" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "privacy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.24% (-45%). INCORRECT. |
| #2812 | "crab" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "crab" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.15% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #2811 | "privacy" | narrative · 1H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "privacy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.97% → 0.52% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2804 | "sheep" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "sheep" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.02% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #2801 | "cat" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "cat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 4.91% (+19%). INCORRECT. |
| #2796 | "diggeridoosvt" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "diggeridoosvt" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2793 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.29% → 3.32% (-23%). INCORRECT. |
| #2780 | "trenches" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "trenches" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.11% (-68%). INCORRECT. |
| #2772 | "holder" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "holder" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.18% (+37%). INCORRECT. |
| #2771 | "him" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 40% that "him" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.39% (+40%). INCORRECT. |
| #2770 | "tech" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "tech" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.30% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #2769 | "justice" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 40% that "justice" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.85% (+38%). INCORRECT. |
| #2767 | "tech" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "tech" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.32% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #2762 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.99% → 3.33% (+11%). INCORRECT. |
| #2756 | "ones" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "ones" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.05% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #2752 | "tiny" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 22% that "tiny" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.31% (+17%). INCORRECT. |
| #2751 | "aura" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 29% that "aura" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.97% (+45%). INCORRECT. |
| #2745 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.67% → 3.12% (-15%). INCORRECT. |
| #2744 | $wAGENTS | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 10% that $wAGENTS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $18,457, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2743 | $wAGENTS | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 10% that $wAGENTS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $6,312, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2739 | "halo" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "halo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.33% (+25%). INCORRECT. |
| #2735 | "simple" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "simple" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 1.03% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #2734 | "mascot" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 01:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "mascot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 1.03% (+13%). INCORRECT. |
| #2724 | "agents" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "agents" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.87% (+43%). INCORRECT. |
| #2713 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-13 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.31% → 3.67% (+11%). INCORRECT. |
| #2705 | "attention" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "attention" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.34% (+18%). INCORRECT. |
| #2691 | "pepe" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "pepe" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.61% (-10%). INCORRECT. |
| #2688 | "phantom" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "phantom" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.08% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #2673 | "king" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "king" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.50% (+12%). INCORRECT. |
| #2672 | "main" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 49% that "main" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 1.34% (+787%). INCORRECT. |
| #2670 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.73% → 2.62% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #2668 | "home" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "home" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.24% (-33%). INCORRECT. |
| #2656 | "duge" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "duge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.01% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #2652 | "market" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "market" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.73% (+28%). INCORRECT. |
| #2628 | "minutes" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "minutes" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.18% (-21%). INCORRECT. |
| #2624 | "full" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "full" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.14% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #2621 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 24% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.31% → 2.71% (+18%). INCORRECT. |
| #2596 | "player" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "player" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.04% (-45%). INCORRECT. |
| #2592 | "straight" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "straight" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.12% (-52%). INCORRECT. |
| #2588 | "luck" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "luck" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.04% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #2582 | $Mike | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $Mike would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $3,238, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2581 | $Mike | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 7% that $Mike would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $4,932, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #2577 | "bullshit" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "bullshit" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.03% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2576 | "power" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "power" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.12% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #2573 | "bullshit" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 02:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "bullshit" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.06% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #2569 | "bullshit" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "bullshit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.23% → 0.16% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2563 | "sifi" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "sifi" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.01% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #2562 | "microcap" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "microcap" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.02% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2559 | "sifi" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "sifi" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.02% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2558 | "microcap" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "microcap" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.05% (-84%). INCORRECT. |
| #2557 | "superintelligence" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 01:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "superintelligence" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.14% (-66%). INCORRECT. |
| #2555 | "microcap" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "microcap" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.95% → 0.13% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #2553 | "superintelligence" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "superintelligence" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.17% → 0.39% (-82%). INCORRECT. |