Will "crypto" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 25% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

15 of 1115 launches in the last hour referenced "crypto" (15 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 0.13×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.16479184330021643,
      "momentum": -2.011192441145729,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.254794952364052
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "crypto",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.0018587360594795538,
    "share60": 0.013888888888888888,
    "total15": 268,
    "total60": 1115,
    "momentum": 0.1338289962825279,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 15,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993772222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999974050925926
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.254794952364052
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.011541010581164156,
  "shareRatio": 1.3168383884360215,
  "totalAfter": 43757,
  "shareBefore": 0.008762458471760798,
  "totalBefore": 48160,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 505,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 422
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity