Will "agents" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 41% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

9 of 1451 launches in the last hour referenced "agents" (9 distinct creators, rank #85). Last 15m momentum 0.58×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.08816799973531786,
      "momentum": -0.5440152600147115,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.406627789680304
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agents",
    "rank60": 85,
    "share15": 0.0037974683544303796,
    "share60": 0.0065426997245179065,
    "total15": 394,
    "total60": 1451,
    "momentum": 0.580413057961359,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 9,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 159,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999083333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999961805555555
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.406627789680304
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00871877890841813,
  "shareRatio": 1.4303730163347799,
  "totalAfter": 43240,
  "shareBefore": 0.006093336050540045,
  "totalBefore": 49070,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 377,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 299
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity