Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

95 of 1168 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (32 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 2.48×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.441665846874966,
      "momentum": 0.9096144293438766,
      "diversity": -0.4957894736842105
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5741597915676248
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.20287539936102236,
    "share60": 0.08169375534644996,
    "total15": 312,
    "total60": 1168,
    "momentum": 2.483364836157436,
    "diversity": 0.3368421052631579,
    "launches15": 63,
    "launches60": 95,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 32
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 141,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9963255555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993875925925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5741597915676248
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04131936175279829,
  "shareRatio": 0.7804487082468117,
  "totalAfter": 8398,
  "shareBefore": 0.0529595015576324,
  "totalBefore": 8346,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 347,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 442
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity