Will "viral" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

49 of 1168 launches in the last hour referenced "viral" (9 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.21×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34235735785147897,
      "momentum": 1.1652321772876417,
      "diversity": -0.6795918367346939
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6290159859563339
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "viral",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.13578274760383385,
    "share60": 0.04234388366124893,
    "total15": 312,
    "total60": 1168,
    "momentum": 3.206667312098622,
    "diversity": 0.1836734693877551,
    "launches15": 42,
    "launches60": 49,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 141,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9963255555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9963255555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6290159859563339
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.011423550087873463,
  "shareRatio": 0.28110782983478333,
  "totalAfter": 1138,
  "shareBefore": 0.041773231031543054,
  "totalBefore": 1173,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 13,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 49
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity