Will "security" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 30% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 1156 launches in the last hour referenced "security" (8 distinct creators, rank #94). Last 15m momentum 0.24×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": -1.4250745145057773,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3042190283224557
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "security",
    "rank60": 94,
    "share15": 0.0017667844522968198,
    "share60": 0.007346585998271392,
    "total15": 282,
    "total60": 1156,
    "momentum": 0.24049054250675533,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 171,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9938113888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997421412037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3042190283224557
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001008827238335435,
  "shareRatio": 1.1608246838720813,
  "totalAfter": 43615,
  "shareBefore": 0.0008685941183769699,
  "totalBefore": 48354,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 44,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 42
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity