Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 44% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

48 of 1451 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (31 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.87×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3392644647710686,
      "momentum": -0.13740533209061354,
      "diversity": -0.12499999999999994
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4444451071592754
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.02911392405063291,
    "share60": 0.03340220385674931,
    "total15": 394,
    "total60": 1451,
    "momentum": 0.871616860237505,
    "diversity": 0.6458333333333334,
    "launches15": 11,
    "launches60": 48,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 31
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 159,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999083333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999083333333333
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4444451071592754
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03670315518351577,
  "shareRatio": 1.1085127837705155,
  "totalAfter": 1553,
  "shareBefore": 0.03305785123966942,
  "totalBefore": 1452,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 57,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 48
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity