Will "runepunk" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 70% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

57 of 1361 launches in the last hour referenced "runepunk" (26 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 3.14×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3650420033100675,
      "momentum": 1.1438550034482242,
      "diversity": -0.35263157894736846
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7018798051057932
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "runepunk",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.1325136612021858,
    "share60": 0.04221732745961821,
    "total15": 365,
    "total60": 1361,
    "momentum": 3.1388453314326443,
    "diversity": 0.45614035087719296,
    "launches15": 48,
    "launches60": 57,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 26
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 108,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9968666666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9968666666666667
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7018798051057932
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0014035087719298245,
  "shareRatio": 0.04167937069333496,
  "totalAfter": 1425,
  "shareBefore": 0.04172767203513909,
  "totalBefore": 1366,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 57
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity