Will "hamster" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 19% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

11 of 1340 launches in the last hour referenced "hamster" (8 distinct creators, rank #37). Last 15m momentum 0.18×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.11826860405464054,
      "momentum": -1.727336941031615,
      "diversity": -0.027272727272727247
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.19070454036657358
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "hamster",
    "rank60": 37,
    "share15": 0.001524390243902439,
    "share60": 0.008575689783743476,
    "total15": 327,
    "total60": 1340,
    "momentum": 0.17775715800636266,
    "diversity": 0.7272727272727273,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 11,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 100,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996725,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999454166666667
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.19070454036657358
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0027704668236597867,
  "shareRatio": 1.4764542936288088,
  "totalAfter": 7219,
  "shareBefore": 0.0018712963925563988,
  "totalBefore": 9619,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 20,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 18
}

2 memory records written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity