Will "player" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 3101 launches in the last hour referenced "player" (5 distinct creators, rank #391). Last 15m momentum 2.95×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 1.0810371438466022,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5964075286946727
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "player",
    "rank60": 391,
    "share15": 0.005226480836236934,
    "share60": 0.0017730496453900709,
    "total15": 860,
    "total60": 3101,
    "momentum": 2.947735191637631,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 361,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974044444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998918518518518
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5964075286946727
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00035248501938667606,
  "shareRatio": 0.56434211056356,
  "totalAfter": 42555,
  "shareBefore": 0.0006351678072368151,
  "totalBefore": 48806,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 15,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 31
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity