Prediction ledger
5,928 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #860 | "diary" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "diary" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.14% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #859 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.44% → 8.21% (+85%). CORRECT. |
| #858 | "tiger" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "tiger" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.80% → 8.37% (+74%). CORRECT. |
| #857 | "altai" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "altai" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.95% → 5.70% (+15%). CORRECT. |
| #852 | "paper" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "paper" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.27% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #851 | "desk" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "desk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.12% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #850 | "bags" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "bags" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.10% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #849 | "agent" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "agent" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.19% → 0.96% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #848 | "inacio" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "inacio" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.03% (-61%). INCORRECT. |
| #847 | "account" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "account" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.74% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #846 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.84% → 1.07% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #845 | "memecoin" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "memecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.96% → 1.94% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #844 | "concept" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "concept" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.43% (+52%). INCORRECT. |
| #843 | "tiktok" | narrative · 1H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "tiktok" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.82% → 0.47% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #842 | "account" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "account" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.44% → 1.92% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #841 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.55% → 2.73% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #836 | "charity" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "charity" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.05% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #835 | "account" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 17% that "account" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.44% (+31%). INCORRECT. |
| #834 | "tiktok" | narrative · 24H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "tiktok" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.29% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #833 | "massimo" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 38% that "massimo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 1.66% (+610%). INCORRECT. |
| #832 | "otc" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "otc" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.05% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #831 | "send" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "send" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.61% → 0.75% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #830 | "massimo" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "massimo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.24% → 3.07% (+147%). INCORRECT. |
| #829 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.22% → 3.70% (-12%). CORRECT. |
| #828 | "otterpreneur" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "otterpreneur" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.10% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #827 | "send" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "send" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.71% → 3.57% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #826 | "massimo" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "massimo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.71% → 2.86% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #825 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.93% → 2.14% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #820 | "across" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "across" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.31% (-13%). CORRECT. |
| #819 | "send" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "send" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.65% (+20%). CORRECT. |
| #818 | "candle" | narrative · 24H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "candle" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.12% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #817 | "pepper" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "pepper" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.59% (+388%). CORRECT. |
| #816 | "born" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "born" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.51% (-34%). INCORRECT. |
| #815 | "candle" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "candle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.16% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #814 | "green" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "green" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.66% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #813 | "pepper" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 68% that "pepper" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.96% (+43%). CORRECT. |
| #812 | "king" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "king" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.34% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #811 | "gaycoin" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "gaycoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.03% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #810 | "pepper" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 77% that "pepper" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.27% → 2.24% (-31%). INCORRECT. |
| #809 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.98% → 7.51% (+89%). INCORRECT. |
| #804 | "born" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "born" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.53% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #803 | "green" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "green" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.75% → 0.64% (-14%). INCORRECT. |
| #802 | "gaycoin" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "gaycoin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.02% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #801 | "gay" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "gay" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.15% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #800 | "trending" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "trending" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.24% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #799 | "represents" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "represents" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.23% → 0.21% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #798 | "gaycoin" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "gaycoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.04% (-92%). INCORRECT. |
| #797 | "gay" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "gay" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.15% → 0.16% (-86%). INCORRECT. |
| #796 | "start" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "start" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.29% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #795 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.16% → 1.28% (-59%). INCORRECT. |
| #794 | "gay" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "gay" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.99% → 0.53% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #793 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.05% → 2.63% (-35%). INCORRECT. |
| #788 | "generation" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 54% that "generation" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.16% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #787 | "represents" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 39% that "represents" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.35% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #786 | "put" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "put" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.25% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #785 | "putin" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "putin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.06% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #784 | "safe" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "safe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.14% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #783 | "put" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "put" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.22% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #782 | "putin" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "putin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.10% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #781 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.34% → 4.19% (+212%). INCORRECT. |
| #780 | "phil" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 71% that "phil" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.30% (-21%). INCORRECT. |
| #779 | "putin" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "putin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.51% → 0.06% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #778 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 3.15% (+17%). CORRECT. |
| #777 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.20% → 7.07% (+36%). INCORRECT. |
| #772 | "mfrg" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "mfrg" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.31% (+78%). CORRECT. |
| #771 | "golden" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "golden" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.38% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #770 | "character" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 48% that "character" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.48% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #769 | "solomon" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "solomon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.01% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #768 | "fomo" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "fomo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.25% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #767 | "around" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "around" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.12% → 0.64% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #766 | "character" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "character" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.10% → 0.46% (-58%). INCORRECT. |
| #765 | "solomon" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "solomon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.02% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #764 | "discovered" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "discovered" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.45% → 0.89% (-39%). INCORRECT. |
| #763 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.71% → 2.62% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #762 | "energy" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "energy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.71% → 2.14% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #761 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.17% → 4.05% (+28%). INCORRECT. |
| #756 | "cartoon" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 42% that "cartoon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.20% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #755 | "argon" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "argon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.01% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #754 | "vibes" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "vibes" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.83% → 0.69% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #753 | "ghost" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-11 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "ghost" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.13% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #752 | "nobody" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "nobody" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.29% (-19%). INCORRECT. |
| #751 | "energy" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "energy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.34% → 1.22% (-9%). CORRECT. |
| #750 | "vibes" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "vibes" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.18% → 0.91% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #749 | "ghost" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "ghost" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.98% → 0.11% (-89%). CORRECT. |
| #748 | "pad" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "pad" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.31% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #747 | "chain" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "chain" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.43% → 1.69% (-30%). INCORRECT. |
| #746 | "read" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "read" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.92% → 0.69% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #745 | "ghost" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-10 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "ghost" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.29% → 0.31% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #740 | "cheese" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "cheese" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.02% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #739 | "anthropic" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "anthropic" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.04% (-62%). CORRECT. |
| #738 | "wallet" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "wallet" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.79% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #737 | "alternet" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-11 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "alternet" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.01% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #736 | "simple" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 31% that "simple" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.72% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #735 | "fund" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "fund" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 0.65% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #734 | "wallet" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 28% that "wallet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 0.93% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #733 | "alternet" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "alternet" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.06% → 0.03% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #732 | "claude" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "claude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.26% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #731 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.53% → 0.92% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #730 | "alternet" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "alternet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.64% → 0.20% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #729 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-10 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-10 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.26% → 2.51% (-65%). INCORRECT. |