Will "mfrg" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1492 launches in the last hour referenced "mfrg" (3 distinct creators, rank #235). Last 15m momentum 3.07×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 1.1214200967926016,
      "diversity": -0.18000000000000002
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5425741711880601
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "mfrg",
    "rank60": 235,
    "share15": 0.011306532663316583,
    "share60": 0.003683858004018754,
    "total15": 397,
    "total60": 1492,
    "momentum": 3.0692096847875745,
    "diversity": 0.6,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 194,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921055555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996710648148148
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5425741711880601
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003091490833621584,
  "shareRatio": 1.7742980565603506,
  "totalAfter": 46256,
  "shareBefore": 0.0017383570504527813,
  "totalBefore": 49472,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 143,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 86
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity