Will "green" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 21% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

50 of 1680 launches in the last hour referenced "green" (6 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.35×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34538776394910686,
      "momentum": -1.047535819325049,
      "diversity": -0.756
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2107012501446954
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "green",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.01053864168618267,
    "share60": 0.030041641879833433,
    "total15": 426,
    "total60": 1680,
    "momentum": 0.3508011222667934,
    "diversity": 0.12,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 50,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 212,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9988261111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998043518518519
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2107012501446954
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006607316733899012,
  "shareRatio": 0.628881551616095,
  "totalAfter": 14378,
  "shareBefore": 0.010506314965910361,
  "totalBefore": 8947,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 95,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 94
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity