Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 43% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

83 of 1590 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (8 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.48×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.42141040430437465,
      "momentum": 0.38886228470005035,
      "diversity": -0.7843373493975904
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4300014436066959
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.07742782152230972,
    "share60": 0.05248271527341295,
    "total15": 380,
    "total60": 1590,
    "momentum": 1.4753013657723923,
    "diversity": 0.0963855421686747,
    "launches15": 29,
    "launches60": 83,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 223,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9968711111111112,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994785185185185
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4300014436066959
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04185005594927266,
  "shareRatio": 3.104920106815237,
  "totalAfter": 13405,
  "shareBefore": 0.01343230823612584,
  "totalBefore": 8487,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 561,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 114
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity