Prediction ledger
5,320 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2384 | "wif" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "wif" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.57% (+76%). CORRECT. |
| #2383 | "privacy" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "privacy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.31% (-33%). INCORRECT. |
| #2382 | "tek" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "tek" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.12% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #2381 | "shadow" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "shadow" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.23% (-54%). INCORRECT. |
| #2380 | "bitmine" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "bitmine" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2379 | "live" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "live" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.35% → 0.42% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2378 | "shadow" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "shadow" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.39% → 0.23% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #2377 | "monero" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "monero" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.48% → 0.72% (-84%). INCORRECT. |
| #2372 | "bear" | narrative · 24H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "bear" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.45% (+189%). CORRECT. |
| #2371 | "tail" | narrative · 24H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "tail" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.07% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #2370 | "monero" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "monero" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.22% (+46%). CORRECT. |
| #2369 | "dog" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "dog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.95% → 1.54% (-21%). INCORRECT. |
| #2368 | "chud" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "chud" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.09% (-46%). INCORRECT. |
| #2367 | "monero" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "monero" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 0.58% (+28%). CORRECT. |
| #2366 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.61% → 1.12% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #2365 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.60% (-10%). INCORRECT. |
| #2364 | "ruve" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "ruve" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2363 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 65% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.15% → 2.85% (+32%). CORRECT. |
| #2362 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.75% → 5.10% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #2361 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.87% → 5.19% (-12%). CORRECT. |
| #2356 | "activity" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "activity" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.10% (+66%). CORRECT. |
| #2355 | "actually" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "actually" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.13% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #2354 | "meats" | narrative · 24H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "meats" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.01% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #2353 | "chaosbuck" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 20% that "chaosbuck" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2352 | "instagram" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "instagram" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.03% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2351 | "chaosbuck" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "chaosbuck" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.01% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2350 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.02% → 4.92% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2349 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.93% → 1.54% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #2348 | "spire" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "spire" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2347 | "chaosbuck" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "chaosbuck" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.02% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2346 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.48% → 2.91% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #2345 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.63% → 2.91% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #2340 | "wired" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "wired" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.06% (+84%). CORRECT. |
| #2339 | "read" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "read" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.95% → 0.64% (-33%). INCORRECT. |
| #2338 | "buddy" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "buddy" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.11% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #2337 | "memecoiner" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "memecoiner" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.01% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #2336 | "center" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "center" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.08% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #2335 | "style" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "style" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.32% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #2334 | "buddy" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "buddy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.17% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2333 | "memecoiner" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "memecoiner" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.04% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2332 | "happy" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "happy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.13% (-58%). INCORRECT. |
| #2331 | "buddy" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "buddy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.40% → 0.04% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2330 | "memecoiner" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "memecoiner" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.94% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2329 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.05% → 5.87% (+45%). INCORRECT. |
| #2324 | "protocol" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 59% that "protocol" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.20% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #2323 | "inherits" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "inherits" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.00% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2322 | "style" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "style" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.32% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #2321 | "hello" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 16% that "hello" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.83% (+150%). INCORRECT. |
| #2320 | "graduates" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "graduates" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.01% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #2319 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.22% → 0.70% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #2318 | "hello" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 10% that "hello" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 1.08% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2317 | "google" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "google" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.78% → 0.07% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2316 | "financial" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "financial" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.16% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2315 | "hello" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "hello" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.56% → 0.99% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #2314 | "solwaifu" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "solwaifu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.76% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2313 | "google" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "google" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.93% → 0.10% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2308 | "humanist" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "humanist" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.00% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2307 | "look" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "look" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.18% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #2306 | "solwaifu" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "solwaifu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.01% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #2305 | "paired" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "paired" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.90% → 0.57% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #2304 | "sljk" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "sljk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.07% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #2303 | "look" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "look" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 0.16% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2302 | "solwaifu" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "solwaifu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.84% → 0.03% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #2301 | "paired" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "paired" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.42% → 0.61% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2300 | "megan" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "megan" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.11% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #2299 | "paired" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "paired" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.56% → 0.49% (-89%). CORRECT. |
| #2298 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.70% → 3.94% (-31%). CORRECT. |
| #2297 | "mascot" | narrative · 1H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "mascot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.36% → 0.27% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #2292 | "goon" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 58% that "goon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.08% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #2291 | "stealth" | narrative · 24H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "stealth" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.06% (-40%). CORRECT. |
| #2290 | "elonhouse" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "elonhouse" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.03% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2289 | "google" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "google" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.32% (+24%). CORRECT. |
| #2288 | "method" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "method" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.11% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #2287 | "overdrive" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "overdrive" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.07% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #2286 | "mascot" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "mascot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.39% → 1.99% (+43%). CORRECT. |
| #2285 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.14% → 4.15% (+32%). INCORRECT. |
| #2284 | "green" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "green" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.40% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #2283 | "overdrive" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "overdrive" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.13% → 0.15% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2282 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "doge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.14% → 0.64% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2281 | "blackbox" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "blackbox" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.95% → 0.25% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2276 | "cohen" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "cohen" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.06% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #2275 | "overdrive" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "overdrive" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.04% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #2274 | "friens" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "friens" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.07% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #2273 | "blackbox" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "blackbox" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.06% (-53%). INCORRECT. |
| #2272 | "launchpad" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "launchpad" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.51% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2271 | "friens" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "friens" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.22% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #2270 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.77% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #2269 | "blackbox" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "blackbox" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.18% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2268 | "moves" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "moves" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.05% (-89%). CORRECT. |
| #2267 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.97% → 3.20% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #2266 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.09% → 1.57% (-62%). INCORRECT. |
| #2265 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.32% → 5.70% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #2260 | "shield" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "shield" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.03% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #2259 | "pool" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "pool" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.20% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #2258 | "stay" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "stay" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.21% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #2257 | "chain" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "chain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.51% → 0.99% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #2256 | "knight" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "knight" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.04% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #2255 | "robinhood" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "robinhood" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.11% → 0.48% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2254 | "pool" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "pool" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.23% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2253 | "stay" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "stay" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.18% (-75%). CORRECT. |