Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

48 of 2226 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (32 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 1.96×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3392644647710686,
      "momentum": 0.6752846544129608,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5392377933811258
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.04278523489932886,
    "share60": 0.02177817691962281,
    "total15": 595,
    "total60": 2226,
    "momentum": 1.9645921262021726,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 25,
    "launches60": 48,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 32
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 316,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9970811111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998783796296297
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5392377933811258
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.01543270596979037,
  "shareRatio": 0.7933203503616313,
  "totalAfter": 45747,
  "shareBefore": 0.01945586484239851,
  "totalBefore": 44511,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 706,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 866
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity