Will "wif" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 2297 launches in the last hour referenced "wif" (4 distinct creators, rank #327). Last 15m momentum 1.99×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.6898454137233887,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5559871773004851
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "wif",
    "rank60": 327,
    "share15": 0.004770992366412214,
    "share60": 0.002393385552654482,
    "total15": 523,
    "total60": 2297,
    "momentum": 1.9934073560027759,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 290,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9948661111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991443518518518
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5559871773004851
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005712549377089031,
  "shareRatio": 1.741812954095937,
  "totalAfter": 16455,
  "shareBefore": 0.0032520325203252032,
  "totalBefore": 11070,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 94,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 36
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity