Prediction ledger
4,872 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3472 | "golden" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 49% that "golden" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.25% (+20%). INCORRECT. |
| #3471 | "engine" | narrative · 6H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "engine" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.14% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #3470 | "shhh" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "shhh" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.27% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #3469 | "veil" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "veil" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.68% → 1.56% (+131%). CORRECT. |
| #3468 | "zero" | narrative · 1H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 16% that "zero" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.65% (+80%). INCORRECT. |
| #3467 | "shhh" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "shhh" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.01% → 1.54% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #3466 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.55% → 5.67% (+60%). INCORRECT. |
| #3465 | "veil" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "veil" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.32% → 2.78% (-36%). INCORRECT. |
| #3464 | $Officer | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Officer would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,029, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3463 | $Officer | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Officer would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,004, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3462 | $arkum | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $arkum would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,982, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3461 | $arkum | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $arkum would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,982, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3460 | "ghost" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 30% that "ghost" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.20% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #3459 | "engine" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "engine" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.12% (-27%). INCORRECT. |
| #3458 | "mayweather" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "mayweather" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.07% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #3457 | "work" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "work" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.55% → 0.27% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #3456 | "verifiable" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 31% that "verifiable" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.09% (+31%). INCORRECT. |
| #3455 | "work" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "work" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.92% → 0.26% (-71%). INCORRECT. |
| #3454 | "agents" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "agents" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.26% → 0.64% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #3453 | "engineers" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "engineers" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.12% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #3452 | "lady" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "lady" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.16% (-40%). INCORRECT. |
| #3451 | "work" | narrative · 1H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "work" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.49% → 0.89% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #3450 | "agents" | narrative · 1H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "agents" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.22% → 1.31% (-75%). INCORRECT. |
| #3449 | "engineers" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "engineers" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.33% → 0.58% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #3448 | $SlopX | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $SlopX would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,985, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3447 | $SlopX | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $SlopX would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,986, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3446 | $floydwif | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $floydwif would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,989, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3445 | $floydwif | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $floydwif would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,989, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3444 | "engineers" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 60% that "engineers" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.21% (+62%). CORRECT. |
| #3443 | "money" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "money" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.84% → 0.75% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #3442 | "floyd" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "floyd" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.19% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #3441 | "john" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 22% that "john" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.24% (+19%). INCORRECT. |
| #3440 | "bring" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "bring" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.11% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #3439 | "musk" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "musk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.10% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #3438 | "floyd" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "floyd" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 0.61% (-23%). INCORRECT. |
| #3437 | "john" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "john" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.36% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #3436 | "decide" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "decide" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3435 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.89% → 1.75% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #3434 | "floyd" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "floyd" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.04% → 1.34% (-56%). INCORRECT. |
| #3433 | "john" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "john" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.65% → 1.85% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #3432 | $MONA | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $MONA would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,984, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3431 | $MONA | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $MONA would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,984, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3430 | $DERP | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $DERP would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,035, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3429 | $DERP | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $DERP would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,035, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3428 | "pair" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 63% that "pair" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.34% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3427 | "hopecoin" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "hopecoin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #3426 | "hope" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "hope" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.07% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #3425 | "pedro" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "pedro" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.12% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #3424 | "doomed" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "doomed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.31% (+110%). INCORRECT. |
| #3423 | "hope" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "hope" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.09% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #3422 | "pedro" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "pedro" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.14% (-68%). CORRECT. |
| #3421 | "credit" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "credit" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.02% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #3420 | "toilet" | narrative · 1H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "toilet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3419 | "credit" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "credit" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.99% → 0.05% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #3418 | "hello" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "hello" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.43% → 0.10% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #3417 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.62% → 3.66% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #3416 | $LAPTOP | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $LAPTOP would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,993, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3415 | $LAPTOP | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $LAPTOP would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,993, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3414 | $Muskratcoin | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $Muskratcoin would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,069, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3413 | $Muskratcoin | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $Muskratcoin would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,069, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3412 | "trust" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "trust" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.13% (-16%). CORRECT. |
| #3411 | "credit" | narrative · 24H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "credit" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.03% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #3410 | "act" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "act" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.11% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #3409 | "era" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "era" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.20% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #3408 | "views" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "views" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.12% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #3407 | "act" | narrative · 6H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "act" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.15% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #3406 | "era" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "era" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.19% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #3405 | "test" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "test" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.94% → 0.30% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #3404 | "dude" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "dude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.05% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #3403 | "act" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "act" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.27% → 0.46% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #3402 | "era" | narrative · 1H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "era" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.56% → 0.36% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #3401 | "test" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "test" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.05% → 0.41% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #3400 | $HELLO | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $HELLO would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,990, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3399 | $HELLO | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $HELLO would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,990, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3398 | $gascoin | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $gascoin would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,051, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3397 | $gascoin | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $gascoin would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,051, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3396 | "alternative" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 60% that "alternative" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.02% → 0.06% (+135%). CORRECT. |
| #3395 | "mikan" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "mikan" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.03% (-74%). INCORRECT. |
| #3394 | "charity" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 24% that "charity" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.29% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #3393 | "live" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "live" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.24% → 0.90% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #3392 | "mikan" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "mikan" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.11% (-68%). INCORRECT. |
| #3391 | "charity" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "charity" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 0.48% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #3390 | "hello" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "hello" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.49% → 0.93% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #3389 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.90% → 0.93% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #3388 | "floyd" | narrative · 1H | 71% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 71% that "floyd" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.26% → 1.34% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #3387 | "humans" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "humans" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.66% → 0.11% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3386 | "hello" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "hello" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.37% → 3.43% (-21%). CORRECT. |
| #3385 | "live" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "live" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.99% → 1.27% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #3384 | $GIFCAT | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $GIFCAT would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,997, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3383 | $GIFCAT | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $GIFCAT would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,996, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3382 | $FLY | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $FLY would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,991, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3381 | $FLY | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $FLY would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,993, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3380 | "cycle" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "cycle" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.03% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #3379 | "martian" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "martian" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.01% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #3378 | "humans" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "humans" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.10% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #3377 | "marvin" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "marvin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.01% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #3376 | "grows" | narrative · 6H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 26% that "grows" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.13% (+158%). INCORRECT. |
| #3375 | "martian" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "martian" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.02% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #3374 | "humans" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "humans" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.20% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #3373 | "marvin" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "marvin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.13% → 0.01% (-99%). INCORRECT. |