Will "engineers" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 70% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

102 of 1913 launches in the last hour referenced "engineers" (98 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.57×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.45233023512752557,
      "momentum": 0.44822343810239895,
      "diversity": 0.2529411764705883
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7012997526855986
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "engineers",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.08383838383838384,
    "share60": 0.05355276907001045,
    "total15": 494,
    "total60": 1913,
    "momentum": 1.5655284552845528,
    "diversity": 0.9607843137254902,
    "launches15": 41,
    "launches60": 102,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 98
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 277,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999113888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999113888888889
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7012997526855986
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005780346820809248,
  "shareRatio": 0.1128433080549293,
  "totalAfter": 1903,
  "shareBefore": 0.05329153605015674,
  "totalBefore": 1914,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 11,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 102
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity