Prediction ledger
4,504 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3904 | "actual" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "actual" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.06% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #3903 | "pookie" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "pookie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.63% → 0.02% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3902 | "albino" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "albino" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.70% → 0.13% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #3901 | "porcupine" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "porcupine" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.73% → 0.11% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #3900 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "doge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.65% (+30%). CORRECT. |
| #3899 | "pookie" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "pookie" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.97% → 0.06% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #3898 | "albino" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "albino" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.34% → 0.48% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #3897 | "porcupine" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "porcupine" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.41% → 0.36% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #3896 | $BOB | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $BOB would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,963, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3895 | $BOB | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $BOB would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,963, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3894 | $PENIS | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $PENIS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3893 | $PENIS | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $PENIS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3892 | "steps" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "steps" (4 distinct creators, rank #170). Last 15m momentum 0.98×. |
| #3891 | "seals" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "seals" (10 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.42×. |
| #3890 | "market" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 26 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "market" (20 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.24×. |
| #3889 | "jeremiah" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC | OPEN | 27 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "jeremiah" (8 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.64×. |
| #3888 | "girl" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "girl" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.09% (-32%). INCORRECT. |
| #3887 | "jeremiah" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "jeremiah" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.28% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #3886 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 37% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.59% → 2.23% (+41%). INCORRECT. |
| #3885 | "paid" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "paid" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.90% (-14%). INCORRECT. |
| #3884 | "mim" | narrative · 1H | 81% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 81% that "mim" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 0.35% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #3883 | "larp" | narrative · 1H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "larp" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.82% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3882 | "paid" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "paid" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.95% → 0.76% (-61%). INCORRECT. |
| #3881 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.15% → 3.66% (-12%). INCORRECT. |
| #3880 | $Humphrey R | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $Humphrey R would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,224, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3879 | $Humphrey R | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $Humphrey R would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,224, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3878 | $FKI | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $FKI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,009, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3877 | $FKI | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $FKI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,009, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3876 | "king" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 10 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "king" (5 distinct creators, rank #65). Last 15m momentum 1.21×. |
| #3875 | "larp" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 28 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "larp" (15 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 3.62×. |
| #3874 | "fartcrack" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 28 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "fartcrack" (15 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 2.86×. |
| #3873 | "jackie" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC | OPEN | 46 of 1534 launches in the last hour referenced "jackie" (27 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.62×. |
| #3872 | "math" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "math" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3871 | "larp" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "larp" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.05% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #3870 | "fartcrack" | narrative · 6H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "fartcrack" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.56% → 0.09% (-84%). INCORRECT. |
| #3869 | "jackie" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 67% that "jackie" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.59% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3868 | "house" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "house" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3867 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 33% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.81% → 1.69% (-6%). PARTIAL. |
| #3866 | "fartcrack" | narrative · 1H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "fartcrack" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.81% → 0.69% (-62%). INCORRECT. |
| #3865 | "jackie" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "jackie" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.97% → 0.44% (-85%). INCORRECT. |
| #3864 | $SPRINGLES | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $SPRINGLES would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $923, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3863 | $SPRINGLES | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $SPRINGLES would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $923, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3862 | $SOLSISTERS | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $SOLSISTERS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $4,119, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3861 | $SOLSISTERS | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $SOLSISTERS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $4,161, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #3860 | "robe" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 20 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "robe" (4 distinct creators, rank #25). Last 15m momentum 0.30×. |
| #3859 | "ecogpt" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 25 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "ecogpt" (15 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 0.24×. |
| #3858 | "neymar" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 26 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "neymar" (18 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.90×. |
| #3857 | "luna" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 12:00 UTC | OPEN | 50 of 1365 launches in the last hour referenced "luna" (12 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #3856 | "wizard" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "wizard" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.22% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #3855 | "ecogpt" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "ecogpt" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.02% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #3854 | "neymar" | narrative · 6H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 69% that "neymar" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.38% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #3853 | "luna" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "luna" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 0.14% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #3852 | "king" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 46% that "king" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.82% (+60%). INCORRECT. |
| #3851 | "style" | narrative · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "style" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.90% → 0.94% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #3850 | "neymar" | narrative · 1H | 78% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 78% that "neymar" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.90% → 0.44% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #3849 | "luna" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "luna" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.65% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3848 | $KI | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $KI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,103, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3847 | $KI | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $KI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,763, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3846 | $这只可 | token · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that $这只可 would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,105, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3845 | $这只可 | token · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that $这只可 would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,105, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3844 | "lady" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "lady" (3 distinct creators, rank #139). Last 15m momentum 3.01×. |
| #3843 | "cartoon" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 23 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "cartoon" (8 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 1.94×. |
| #3842 | "diff" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "diff" (23 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #3841 | "stockguy" | narrative · 24H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:30 UTC | OPEN | 43 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "stockguy" (27 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 4.35×. |
| #3840 | "fuck" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "fuck" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.10% (-17%). INCORRECT. |
| #3839 | "cartoon" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "cartoon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.21% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #3838 | "justice" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 41% that "justice" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.00% → 0.92% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #3837 | "stockguy" | narrative · 6H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "stockguy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.10% (-84%). INCORRECT. |
| #3836 | "reteps" | narrative · 1H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "reteps" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.13% (-70%). CORRECT. |
| #3835 | "stockguy" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "stockguy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.08% → 0.06% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #3834 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.37% → 2.13% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #3833 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.16% → 6.26% (+21%). INCORRECT. |
| #3832 | $KIMBAMOON | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $KIMBAMOON would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,073, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3831 | $KIMBAMOON | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $KIMBAMOON would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,073, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3830 | $HC | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $HC would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $10,201, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3829 | $HC | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $HC would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $10,201, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3828 | "eyes" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "eyes" (4 distinct creators, rank #171). Last 15m momentum 2.30×. |
| #3827 | "github" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 42 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "github" (24 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 3.53×. |
| #3826 | "uxento" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 53 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (35 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.05×. |
| #3825 | "marsx" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 11:00 UTC | OPEN | 67 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "marsx" (37 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.61×. |
| #3824 | "employee" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "employee" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3823 | "diff" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "diff" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.58% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #3822 | "github" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "github" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.06% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #3821 | "marsx" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "marsx" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.08% (-91%). INCORRECT. |
| #3820 | "wallets" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "wallets" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.29% (-23%). CORRECT. |
| #3819 | "diff" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "diff" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.10% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #3818 | "github" | narrative · 1H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "github" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.18% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #3817 | "marsx" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "marsx" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.07% → 0.51% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #3816 | $$SUS | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $$SUS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $422, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3815 | $$SUS | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $$SUS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $422, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3814 | $MINION | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $MINION would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,981, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3813 | $MINION | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $MINION would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,981, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #3812 | "concept" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "concept" (3 distinct creators, rank #88). Last 15m momentum 0.87×. |
| #3811 | "dotatate" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 19 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "dotatate" (11 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 2.98×. |
| #3810 | "anthropic" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "anthropic" (3 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.75×. |
| #3809 | "actinium" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 10:30 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 1199 launches in the last hour referenced "actinium" (12 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 2.92×. |
| #3808 | "makin" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "makin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.12% (-72%). CORRECT. |
| #3807 | "ryz101" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "ryz101" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.14% (-60%). INCORRECT. |
| #3806 | "monkey" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "monkey" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.39% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #3805 | "hello" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "hello" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.02% → 0.29% (-71%). CORRECT. |