Will "marsx" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 67% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

67 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "marsx" (37 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.61×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3892882060435298,
      "momentum": 1.284731799134823,
      "diversity": -0.23731343283582085
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6694491269516915
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "marsx",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.18493150684931506,
    "share60": 0.0511751326762699,
    "total15": 364,
    "total60": 1318,
    "momentum": 3.6136986301369864,
    "diversity": 0.5522388059701493,
    "launches15": 67,
    "launches60": 67,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 37
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 157,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9963130555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993855092592593
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6694491269516915
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0008198214611040263,
  "shareRatio": 0.09097705046334248,
  "totalAfter": 10978,
  "shareBefore": 0.009441939120631342,
  "totalBefore": 7096,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 9,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 67
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity