Will "diff" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 75% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

41 of 1318 launches in the last hour referenced "diff" (23 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 3.61×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3156201231405311,
      "momentum": 1.284731799134823,
      "diversity": -0.22682926829268285
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7452662497986742
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "diff",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.1136986301369863,
    "share60": 0.03146322971948446,
    "total15": 364,
    "total60": 1318,
    "momentum": 3.613698630136986,
    "diversity": 0.5609756097560976,
    "launches15": 41,
    "launches60": 41,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 23
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 157,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9963130555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9963130555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7452662497986742
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.011634860610324508,
  "totalAfter": 1369,
  "shareBefore": 0.031013615733736764,
  "totalBefore": 1322,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 41
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity