Will "uxento" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 47% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

47 of 1390 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (35 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 0.87×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3361064533913937,
      "momentum": -0.13998071630442982,
      "diversity": -0.0063829787234042975
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4724635798470962
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "uxento",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.0296875,
    "share60": 0.03414809489575845,
    "total15": 319,
    "total60": 1390,
    "momentum": 0.8693749999999999,
    "diversity": 0.7446808510638298,
    "launches15": 9,
    "launches60": 47,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 35
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 175,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935386111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9935386111111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4724635798470962
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.02130406714009038,
  "shareRatio": 0.635646859083192,
  "totalAfter": 1549,
  "shareBefore": 0.0336676217765043,
  "totalBefore": 1396,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 33,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 47
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity