Will "paid" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 58% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

31 of 1577 launches in the last hour referenced "paid" (14 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 2.64×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27368239380765685,
      "momentum": 0.9708374155056632,
      "diversity": -0.3580645161290323
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5794506593839319
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "paid",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.052702702702702706,
    "share60": 0.019961977186311788,
    "total15": 369,
    "total60": 1577,
    "momentum": 2.6401544401544403,
    "diversity": 0.45161290322580644,
    "launches15": 19,
    "launches60": 31,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 209,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932597222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9988766203703704
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5794506593839319
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009006815968841285,
  "shareRatio": 0.8570158618169907,
  "totalAfter": 12324,
  "shareBefore": 0.010491803278688525,
  "totalBefore": 7625,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 111,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 80
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity