Prediction ledger
5,352 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2284 | "green" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "green" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.40% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #2283 | "overdrive" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "overdrive" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.13% → 0.15% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2282 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "doge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.14% → 0.64% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2281 | "blackbox" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "blackbox" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.95% → 0.25% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2276 | "cohen" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "cohen" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.06% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #2275 | "overdrive" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "overdrive" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.04% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #2274 | "friens" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "friens" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.07% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #2273 | "blackbox" | narrative · 24H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "blackbox" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.06% (-53%). INCORRECT. |
| #2272 | "launchpad" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "launchpad" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.51% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2271 | "friens" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "friens" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.22% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #2270 | "live" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "live" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 0.77% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #2269 | "blackbox" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "blackbox" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.18% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2268 | "moves" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "moves" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.50% → 0.05% (-89%). CORRECT. |
| #2267 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.97% → 3.20% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #2266 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.09% → 1.57% (-62%). INCORRECT. |
| #2265 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.32% → 5.70% (-10%). CORRECT. |
| #2260 | "shield" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "shield" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.03% (-35%). CORRECT. |
| #2259 | "pool" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "pool" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.20% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #2258 | "stay" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "stay" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.21% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #2257 | "chain" | narrative · 24H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "chain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.51% → 0.99% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #2256 | "knight" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "knight" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.04% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #2255 | "robinhood" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "robinhood" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.11% → 0.48% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2254 | "pool" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "pool" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.23% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2253 | "stay" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "stay" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.18% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2252 | "wizard" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "wizard" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.13% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #2251 | "mascot" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "mascot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.60% → 2.70% (-25%). CORRECT. |
| #2250 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.72% → 1.69% (-54%). CORRECT. |
| #2249 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.57% → 1.07% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #2244 | "internet" | narrative · 24H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "internet" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.46% (-33%). CORRECT. |
| #2243 | "mascot" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 53% that "mascot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 1.24% (+205%). CORRECT. |
| #2242 | "money" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "money" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 3.09% → 1.39% (-55%). CORRECT. |
| #2241 | "poodle" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "poodle" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.05% (-78%). INCORRECT. |
| #2240 | "home" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "home" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.26% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #2239 | "moodeng" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "moodeng" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.02% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2238 | "money" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "money" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.17% → 3.39% (+189%). INCORRECT. |
| #2237 | "poodle" | narrative · 6H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 58% that "poodle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.07% → 0.16% (-85%). INCORRECT. |
| #2236 | "vibes" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "vibes" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.04% → 0.56% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #2235 | "money" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 29% that "money" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.64% → 6.32% (+74%). INCORRECT. |
| #2234 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.63% → 3.97% (-14%). CORRECT. |
| #2233 | "poodle" | narrative · 1H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "poodle" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.09% → 1.24% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #2228 | "snack" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "snack" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.01% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #2227 | "moodeng" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "moodeng" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #2226 | "sai" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "sai" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.26% → 0.04% (-83%). INCORRECT. |
| #2225 | "ploy" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 28% that "ploy" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.29% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #2224 | "tiny" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "tiny" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.32% → 0.24% (-25%). INCORRECT. |
| #2223 | "sai" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "sai" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.32% → 0.17% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2222 | "ploy" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "ploy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.57% → 0.76% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #2221 | "read" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "read" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.24% → 1.06% (-53%). CORRECT. |
| #2220 | "turn" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 55% that "turn" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.87% (+101%). CORRECT. |
| #2219 | "sai" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "sai" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.91% → 0.93% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2218 | "ploy" | narrative · 1H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "ploy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.20% → 2.17% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2217 | "read" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "read" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 10.67% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2212 | "brain" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "brain" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.22% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #2211 | "dogeolo" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "dogeolo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.00% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2210 | "enrico" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "enrico" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.00% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #2209 | "dandolo" | narrative · 24H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "dandolo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.00% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #2208 | "giraffe" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "giraffe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.02% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #2207 | "dogeolo" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "dogeolo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.02% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2206 | "enrico" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "enrico" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.02% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2205 | "dandolo" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "dandolo" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.02% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2204 | "goal" | narrative · 1H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "goal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.23% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #2203 | "enrico" | narrative · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "enrico" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.62% → 0.06% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2202 | "dandolo" | narrative · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "dandolo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.70% → 0.06% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2201 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.18% → 5.55% (+75%). INCORRECT. |
| #2196 | "follow" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "follow" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.16% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #2195 | "lmp" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "lmp" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.01% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2194 | "lma" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "lma" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.01% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #2193 | "uxento" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "uxento" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.28% → 2.66% (+17%). CORRECT. |
| #2192 | "open" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "open" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.33% (-26%). INCORRECT. |
| #2191 | "lma" | narrative · 6H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "lma" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.05% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2190 | "bot" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "bot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.75% (+16%). CORRECT. |
| #2189 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "doge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.99% → 1.93% (+95%). CORRECT. |
| #2188 | "bring" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "bring" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2187 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "doge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.36% → 4.01% (+70%). CORRECT. |
| #2186 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 17% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.38% → 3.08% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #2185 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.96% → 3.52% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #2180 | "specter" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "specter" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.11% (+81%). INCORRECT. |
| #2179 | "miragelsd" | narrative · 24H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "miragelsd" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.00% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2178 | "mirage" | narrative · 24H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "mirage" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.02% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #2177 | "decart" | narrative · 24H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "decart" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.02% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #2176 | "pure" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "pure" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.36% (+32%). INCORRECT. |
| #2175 | "miragelsd" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "miragelsd" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 0.01% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2174 | "mirage" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "mirage" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.88% → 0.08% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #2173 | "decart" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "decart" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.09% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #2172 | "night" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 28% that "night" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.08% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2171 | "miragelsd" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "miragelsd" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.60% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2170 | "mirage" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "mirage" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.60% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2169 | "decart" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "decart" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.67% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2164 | "sprite" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "sprite" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.03% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #2163 | "insane" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "insane" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.13% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #2162 | "moey" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "moey" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2161 | "burger" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "burger" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.02% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2160 | "send" | narrative · 6H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 50% that "send" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.37% (+8%). PARTIAL. |
| #2159 | "fucking" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "fucking" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.35% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #2158 | "burger" | narrative · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "burger" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.02% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #2157 | "fund" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 13:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 19% that "fund" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 1.10% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2156 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 1.10% (+18%). CORRECT. |
| #2155 | "fund" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "fund" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.13% → 1.02% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2154 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.96% → 0.94% (-89%). INCORRECT. |
| #2153 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 08:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 10.83% → 1.10% (-90%). INCORRECT. |