Will "insane" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

30 of 1279 launches in the last hour referenced "insane" (4 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 3.27×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2687639203842082,
      "momentum": 1.1833535171232006,
      "diversity": -0.74
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.514011010653831
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "insane",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.0778061224489796,
    "share60": 0.023828125,
    "total15": 391,
    "total60": 1279,
    "momentum": 3.26530612244898,
    "diversity": 0.13333333333333333,
    "launches15": 30,
    "launches60": 30,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 165,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982655555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999277314814815
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.514011010653831
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0012615295528808372,
  "shareRatio": 0.582921392501835,
  "totalAfter": 48354,
  "shareBefore": 0.002169973292636398,
  "totalBefore": 41936,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 61,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 91
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity