Will "uxento" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 39% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 1256 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (16 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.98×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": -0.025105063554407985,
      "diversity": -0.42
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.39336512549742103
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "uxento",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.031420765027322405,
    "share60": 0.032219570405727926,
    "total15": 365,
    "total60": 1256,
    "momentum": 0.9752074478850434,
    "diversity": 0.4,
    "launches15": 11,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 16
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 165,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9979788888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9979788888888889
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.39336512549742103
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.055523423944476576,
  "shareRatio": 1.7353885677585101,
  "totalAfter": 1729,
  "shareBefore": 0.03177124702144559,
  "totalBefore": 1259,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 96,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 40
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity