Will "doge" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

29 of 1262 launches in the last hour referenced "doge" (14 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.84×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.263678687632856,
      "momentum": 0.6092602361414798,
      "diversity": -0.32068965517241377
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5216301136283157
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "doge",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.0429553264604811,
    "share60": 0.023357086302454474,
    "total15": 290,
    "total60": 1262,
    "momentum": 1.8390704176131398,
    "diversity": 0.4827586206896552,
    "launches15": 12,
    "launches60": 29,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 153,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9924186111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9987364351851852
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5216301136283157
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.019331526648599818,
  "shareRatio": 1.9417501225667435,
  "totalAfter": 11070,
  "shareBefore": 0.009921550530687587,
  "totalBefore": 8668,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 214,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 86
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity