Prediction ledger
7,096 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #196 | "research" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "research" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.66% (+51%). CORRECT. |
| #195 | "bitcoin" | narrative · 1H | 69% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 69% that "bitcoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.63% → 0.91% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #194 | "method" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 42% that "method" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.93% → 2.82% (-4%). PARTIAL. |
| #193 | "qsb" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "qsb" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.24% → 0.33% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #192 | $KERNELOS | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $KERNELOS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,066, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #191 | $KERNELOS | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $KERNELOS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,066, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #190 | $PEPE | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $PEPE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,070, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #189 | $PEPE | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $PEPE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,070, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #188 | "moonchacha" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "moonchacha" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.06% (-51%). CORRECT. |
| #187 | "pepe" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "pepe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.16% → 0.58% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #186 | "button" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "button" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.05% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #185 | "jean" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "jean" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.06% → 0.54% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #184 | "putting" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "putting" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #183 | "jean" | narrative · 1H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "jean" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.42% → 0.38% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #182 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.74% → 2.03% (-26%). INCORRECT. |
| #181 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.44% → 8.93% (+101%). CORRECT. |
| #180 | $$SHEEPY | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $$SHEEPY would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,008, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #179 | $$SHEEPY | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $$SHEEPY would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,008, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #178 | $Chud | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $Chud would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $49, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #177 | $Chud | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $Chud would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $49, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #176 | "retail" | narrative · 6H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "retail" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.11% (+45%). INCORRECT. |
| #175 | "launchpad" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "launchpad" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.98% → 1.35% (+38%). CORRECT. |
| #174 | "grieving" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "grieving" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.01% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #173 | "orca" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "orca" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.03% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #172 | "hedge" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "hedge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.11% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #171 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.42% → 1.31% (-46%). CORRECT. |
| #170 | "orca" | narrative · 1H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "orca" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.42% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #169 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.81% → 3.02% (-48%). CORRECT. |
| #168 | $SHIT | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $SHIT would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $777, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #167 | $SHIT | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $SHIT would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $777, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #166 | $BLOCKSPACE | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $BLOCKSPACE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,085, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #165 | $BLOCKSPACE | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $BLOCKSPACE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,085, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #164 | "lutecoin" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "lutecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #163 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.33% → 1.86% (+40%). CORRECT. |
| #162 | "market" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "market" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.56% → 1.00% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #161 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 59% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.20% → 1.57% (+31%). CORRECT. |
| #160 | "agents" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "agents" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.46% → 0.90% (-39%). INCORRECT. |
| #159 | "market" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "market" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.57% → 0.81% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #158 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 66% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.84% → 2.47% (+34%). CORRECT. |
| #157 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.17% → 1.84% (-15%). CORRECT. |
| #156 | $Brahmos | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Brahmos would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,564, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #155 | $Brahmos | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Brahmos would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,564, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #154 | $SPS | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $SPS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,996, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #153 | $SPS | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $SPS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,077, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #152 | "golden" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "golden" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.79% → 0.35% (-55%). INCORRECT. |
| #151 | "bitcoin" | narrative · 6H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 49% that "bitcoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.75% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #150 | "chonker" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "chonker" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.01% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #149 | "candle" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 19:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "candle" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.29% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #148 | "club" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "club" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #147 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.19% → 1.50% (-32%). CORRECT. |
| #146 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.62% → 1.45% (-45%). CORRECT. |
| #145 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.66% → 4.84% (-44%). INCORRECT. |
| #144 | $G CANDLE | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $G CANDLE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $6,038, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #143 | $G CANDLE | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $G CANDLE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $6,038, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #142 | $Chonker | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $Chonker would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,064, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #141 | $Chonker | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $Chonker would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,064, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #140 | "remember" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "remember" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.17% (-24%). CORRECT. |
| #139 | "clanker" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "clanker" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.04% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #138 | "claimed" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "claimed" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.97% → 0.32% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #137 | "openwhip" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "openwhip" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #136 | "around" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "around" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.97% (+248%). CORRECT. |
| #135 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.31% → 5.79% (+75%). CORRECT. |
| #134 | "openwhip" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "openwhip" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.64% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #133 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.15% → 1.08% (-74%). INCORRECT. |
| #132 | $DNA | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $DNA would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,072, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #131 | $DNA | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $DNA would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,072, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #130 | $EI | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $EI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,067, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #129 | $EI | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $EI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,093, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #128 | "cute" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "cute" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.06% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #127 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.93% → 1.73% (-10%). INCORRECT. |
| #126 | "claude" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "claude" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.35% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #125 | "nker" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "nker" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.64% → 0.10% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #124 | "ogcalled" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "ogcalled" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.95% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #123 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.72% → 2.09% (-23%). INCORRECT. |
| #122 | "claude" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "claude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.97% → 1.50% (-50%). INCORRECT. |
| #121 | "nker" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "nker" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.04% → 0.75% (-75%). INCORRECT. |
| #120 | $JUICE | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $JUICE would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,086, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #119 | $JUICE | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $JUICE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,065, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #118 | $VAMP | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $VAMP would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,766, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #117 | $VAMP | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $VAMP would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,766, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #116 | "free" | narrative · 6H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "free" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.81% (+128%). INCORRECT. |
| #115 | "alpha" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "alpha" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.23% (-43%). CORRECT. |
| #114 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.14% → 1.80% (-16%). CORRECT. |
| #113 | "pqc" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "pqc" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.98% → 0.61% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #112 | "started" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "started" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #111 | "memecoin" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "memecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 2.02% (-40%). CORRECT. |
| #110 | "pqc" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "pqc" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.55% → 2.69% (-24%). CORRECT. |
| #109 | "quantum" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 54% that "quantum" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.81% → 8.07% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #108 | $kimchi | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 6% that $kimchi would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $655, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #107 | $kimchi | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 6% that $kimchi would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $667, graduated). INCORRECT. |
| #106 | $HANS | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $HANS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $4,573, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #105 | $HANS | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $HANS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $4,573, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #104 | "yellow" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "yellow" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.08% (-53%). CORRECT. |
| #103 | "memecoin" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 51% that "memecoin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.39% → 2.33% (+67%). CORRECT. |
| #102 | "qseal" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "qseal" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.81% → 0.68% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #101 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.35% → 2.37% (-29%). INCORRECT. |
| #100 | "normal" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "normal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.19% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #99 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.45% → 3.92% (-12%). INCORRECT. |
| #98 | "qseal" | narrative · 1H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 59% that "qseal" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.52% → 4.55% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #97 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-09 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-09 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 60% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.09% → 6.13% (+20%). CORRECT. |