Will "memecoin" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

44 of 1394 launches in the last hour referenced "memecoin" (15 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.92×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.32621275822262413,
      "momentum": 0.6531536969863886,
      "diversity": -0.4909090909090909
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5104785043083193
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "memecoin",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.06129807692307692,
    "share60": 0.03189964157706093,
    "total15": 415,
    "total60": 1394,
    "momentum": 1.9215914001728607,
    "diversity": 0.3409090909090909,
    "launches15": 25,
    "launches60": 44,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 160,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999369444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999894907407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5104785043083193
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.023263124803520906,
  "shareRatio": 1.6669048373516335,
  "totalAfter": 12724,
  "shareBefore": 0.013915732508697333,
  "totalBefore": 7761,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 296,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 108
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity