Will "bitcoin" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 69% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

60 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "bitcoin" (31 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 2.72×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3727359974682,
      "momentum": 0.9988709592336971,
      "diversity": -0.2799999999999999
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6881762711576459
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bitcoin",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.07252559726962457,
    "share60": 0.026710816777041943,
    "total15": 585,
    "total60": 2264,
    "momentum": 2.715214509350407,
    "diversity": 0.5166666666666667,
    "launches15": 42,
    "launches60": 60,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 31
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 359,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9940633333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9940633333333333
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6881762711576459
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009109730848861283,
  "shareRatio": 0.3518896064802146,
  "totalAfter": 2415,
  "shareBefore": 0.0262582056892779,
  "totalBefore": 2285,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 22,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 60
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity