Will "cute" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 48% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1571 launches in the last hour referenced "cute" (5 distinct creators, rank #179). Last 15m momentum 0.99×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": -0.005287101244856802,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4765918814667657
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cute",
    "rank60": 179,
    "share15": 0.0034802784222737818,
    "share60": 0.003498727735368957,
    "total15": 430,
    "total60": 1571,
    "momentum": 0.9947268508753427,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 190,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9943713888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990618981481482
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4765918814667657
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0005881920447025954,
  "shareRatio": 0.3992412880458756,
  "totalAfter": 13601,
  "shareBefore": 0.0015028177833437697,
  "totalBefore": 7985,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 8,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 12
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity