Will "free" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 33% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

14 of 1461 launches in the last hour referenced "free" (7 distinct creators, rank #36). Last 15m momentum 0.64×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.1544429125771737,
      "momentum": -0.4466481865405837,
      "diversity": -0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.328595628867514
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "free",
    "rank60": 36,
    "share15": 0.006345177664974619,
    "share60": 0.009917920656634747,
    "total15": 393,
    "total60": 1461,
    "momentum": 0.639768948013303,
    "diversity": 0.5,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 14,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 144,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974325,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995720833333334
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.328595628867514
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.008138658628485305,
  "shareRatio": 2.249614315345292,
  "totalAfter": 13270,
  "shareBefore": 0.0035709730901670707,
  "totalBefore": 7841,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 108,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 28
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity