Will "agent" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

32 of 1840 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (32 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.48×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27844469855484394,
      "momentum": 0.3901262518197445,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5933905560677639
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agent",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.026077097505668934,
    "share60": 0.017653449212384573,
    "total15": 440,
    "total60": 1840,
    "momentum": 1.4771672771672772,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 11,
    "launches60": 32,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 32
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 315,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9940847222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990141203703704
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5933905560677639
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.01568121648224832,
  "shareRatio": 1.3081433235039688,
  "totalAfter": 14731,
  "shareBefore": 0.011957979436745642,
  "totalBefore": 8948,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 231,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 107
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity