Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1571 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (35 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.80×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 0.5892878799243827,
      "diversity": 0.07674418604651163
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5968019600215696
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.04988399071925754,
    "share60": 0.02767175572519084,
    "total15": 430,
    "total60": 1571,
    "momentum": 1.8027042163373068,
    "diversity": 0.813953488372093,
    "launches15": 21,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 35
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 190,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9943713888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990618981481482
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5968019600215696
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.01727814131313874,
  "shareRatio": 0.8949297861679394,
  "totalAfter": 13601,
  "shareBefore": 0.01928616155291171,
  "totalBefore": 7985,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 235,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 154
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity