Prediction ledger
5,320 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2920 | $That One | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $That One would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,028, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2919 | $That One | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $That One would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,028, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2918 | $BCLAUDIA | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $BCLAUDIA would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,022, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2917 | $BCLAUDIA | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $BCLAUDIA would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,022, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2916 | "free" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "free" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.40% → 0.47% (+17%). INCORRECT. |
| #2915 | "sanctuary" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "sanctuary" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.03% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #2914 | "mayhem" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 39% that "mayhem" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.45% (+108%). INCORRECT. |
| #2913 | "posted" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 20% that "posted" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.29% (-2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2912 | "forget" | narrative · 6H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "forget" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.07% (-34%). CORRECT. |
| #2911 | "mayhem" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "mayhem" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.11% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2910 | "posted" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "posted" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.23% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2909 | "viral" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "viral" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.74% → 1.39% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #2908 | "meet" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "meet" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.36% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #2907 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.29% → 2.42% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #2906 | "posted" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "posted" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.78% → 0.72% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #2905 | "been" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "been" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 8.00% → 0.27% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #2904 | $Grift | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Grift would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $973, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2903 | $Grift | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $Grift would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $973, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2902 | $GARFIELD | token · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $GARFIELD would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,042, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2901 | $GARFIELD | token · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that $GARFIELD would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,042, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2900 | "worm" | narrative · 24H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 64% that "worm" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.32% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2899 | "been" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "been" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.23% (-37%). CORRECT. |
| #2898 | "alone" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "alone" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.07% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #2897 | "viral" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "viral" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.75% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #2896 | "makin" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 59% that "makin" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.33% (+95%). CORRECT. |
| #2895 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.77% → 2.22% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #2894 | "been" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "been" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.17% → 0.40% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #2893 | "alone" | narrative · 6H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "alone" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.99% → 0.24% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2892 | "run" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 23% that "run" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 1.03% (+110%). INCORRECT. |
| #2891 | "alone" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "alone" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.04% → 1.03% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #2890 | "viral" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "viral" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.25% → 1.46% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2889 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 9.05% → 5.76% (-36%). CORRECT. |
| #2888 | $SLEEP | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $SLEEP would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,030, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2887 | $SLEEP | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $SLEEP would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,030, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2886 | $SLEEP | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $SLEEP would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2885 | $SLEEP | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $SLEEP would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,027, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2884 | "death" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 47% that "death" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.03% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #2883 | "rea" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "rea" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.09% (-26%). CORRECT. |
| #2882 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.22% (+45%). CORRECT. |
| #2881 | "sleep" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "sleep" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.06% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #2880 | "death" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "death" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.03% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2879 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 6H | 64% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 64% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.69% → 0.36% (-48%). INCORRECT. |
| #2878 | "test" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "test" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.53% → 0.90% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #2877 | "sleep" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "sleep" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.18% → 0.04% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2876 | "desktop" | narrative · 1H | 26% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 26% that "desktop" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.08% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2875 | "nietzschean" | narrative · 1H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "nietzschean" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.96% → 1.06% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2874 | "test" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "test" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.48% → 1.22% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2873 | "sleep" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "sleep" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.24% → 0.00% (-100%). INCORRECT. |
| #2872 | $trench | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $trench would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2871 | $trench | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $trench would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2870 | $BLACKCOCK | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $BLACKCOCK would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,075, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2869 | $BLACKCOCK | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $BLACKCOCK would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,085, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2868 | "studio" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 50% that "studio" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.05% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #2867 | "test" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 54% that "test" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 1.11% (+59%). CORRECT. |
| #2866 | "added" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "added" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.11% (-15%). INCORRECT. |
| #2865 | "runepunk" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "runepunk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.00% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2864 | "chain" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "chain" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.66% → 1.17% (+77%). CORRECT. |
| #2863 | "added" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "added" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.03% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2862 | "web" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "web" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.08% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #2861 | "runepunk" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "runepunk" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.03% (-95%). INCORRECT. |
| #2860 | "claude" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "claude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.46% → 0.21% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #2859 | "runepunk" | narrative · 1H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "runepunk" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.17% → 0.14% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #2858 | "black" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "black" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.25% → 1.05% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2857 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 06:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 57% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.42% → 5.40% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #2856 | $fun | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $fun would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,062, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2855 | $fun | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $fun would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,062, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2854 | $MarsX | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $MarsX would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,138, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2853 | $MarsX | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $MarsX would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,138, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2852 | "agi" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "agi" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.04% (-70%). CORRECT. |
| #2851 | "claude" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "claude" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.38% (+24%). INCORRECT. |
| #2850 | "inu" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "inu" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.93% → 2.46% (-16%). CORRECT. |
| #2849 | "claudechud" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "claudechud" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.03% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #2848 | "hamster" | narrative · 6H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 19% that "hamster" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.19% → 0.28% (+48%). INCORRECT. |
| #2847 | "intelligence" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "intelligence" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.91% → 0.40% (-56%). CORRECT. |
| #2846 | "marsx" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 31% that "marsx" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.94% → 0.07% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2845 | "claudechud" | narrative · 6H | 70% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 70% that "claudechud" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 0.14% (-78%). INCORRECT. |
| #2844 | "term" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "term" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.14% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #2843 | "marsx" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "marsx" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 0.07% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #2842 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.69% → 1.50% (-44%). CORRECT. |
| #2841 | "claudechud" | narrative · 1H | 79% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 79% that "claudechud" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.55% → 0.68% (-85%). INCORRECT. |
| #2840 | $BJ | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $BJ would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,010, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2839 | $BJ | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $BJ would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,010, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2838 | $r | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $r would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,602, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2837 | $r | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $r would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,602, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2836 | "bbc" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "bbc" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.01% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #2835 | "chase" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "chase" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.06% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #2834 | "movement" | narrative · 24H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 16% that "movement" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.14% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #2833 | "name" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "name" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.45% → 0.33% (-28%). CORRECT. |
| #2832 | "digital" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 55% that "digital" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.33% (+6%). PARTIAL. |
| #2831 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 44% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.60% → 3.17% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2830 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 43% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.35% → 1.41% (+4%). PARTIAL. |
| #2829 | "market" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "market" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.06% → 0.56% (-47%). CORRECT. |
| #2828 | "pcat" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "pcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.07% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2827 | "market" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "market" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.17% → 0.44% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2826 | "superintelligence" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "superintelligence" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.23% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2825 | "black" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 04:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 05:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "black" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 11.81% → 4.25% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #2824 | $GOTCHA! | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $GOTCHA! would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2823 | $GOTCHA! | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $GOTCHA! would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2822 | $Wiener | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $Wiener would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,080, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2821 | $Wiener | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-13 03:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 04:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $Wiener would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,080, no recent trades). CORRECT. |